There’s plenty to explain the bad performances this season, and as I say most of it is on Nuno. He’s not been able to get it consistently right at any point this season. The bits in bold are my responses to your other points.
Edit: also no idea how I managed to make it look like I’m quoting different posts. Ha
That is all fair.
The one thing I would say is I don’t think the fact our points tally improved against the shit teams tells us much.
Watford (H) - good win. They were hopeless though. Lost 8-0 the week before, weren’t playing for the manager, hadn’t won yet, didn’t win for a while after.
Villa (H) - we were way better than them. No way should it have been 1-0 for so long, still only actually scored from a set piece. They didn’t have Grealish and they were a one man team.
Bournemouth (A) - scored from two set pieces. They were down to 10 men after 37 mins. Probably less comfortable after this than before strangely.
WHU (H) - they were abject. We scored again from a set piece. Fabianski did make a few good saves in this if I remember it right. Late goal sealed it.
Norwich (A) - awful. Equalised from a set piece Raul got the winner. Norwich weren't exactly a let us have the ball team. Played like a top 6 team with championship players.
Watford (A) - lost
Norwich (H) - comfortable win. The above applies though.
Brighton and Newcastle - won 0 out of 4.
The three win against WHU, Villa and Bournemouth were the definition of our fine margins. Didn’t really work the keepers, scored from our individual quality with our one good chance.
So from those games pre lockdown I can see that our main success was from set pieces. No problem with that, massive part of the game. But you can’t exactly use it to say we improved our attacking in open play.
This time last year we’d have said Rui, Jonny, Boly, Coady (in a three), Neves, Moutinho, Neto, Traore, Jota, Raul were all well worthy of positions in squads in the top 6. So I can think it’s fair to assume we should be pretty successful generally against some absolutely dire teams.