PuntsWolf
Well-known member
- Joined
- Sep 21, 2010
- Messages
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I will crunch the numbers again just to illustrate the situation.
2.9% mortality rate from recorded cases. Cases is much higher than this (not everyone has had tests, testing wasn’t readily available in the first wave, false negatives etc.)
127,000 people have been recorded as Covid deaths. Excess deaths is around the 20,000 mark. The real figure is somewhere in between.
So taking those two things into account the mortality rate is likely significantly lower than 2.9% (which was in an unvaccinated population).
Now take into account a successful vaccine (people who still get ill with it does not equal death, they will have more protection than this time last year and better treatment), levels of existing immunity in the community, the seasonal nature of the disease, then the response is not in line with the problem (particularly when the response is causing deaths from other causes, as well as the long term economic problems).
I’m not too bothered about a bit more lockdown. I’ve been going into work FT throughout, 5 a side is now back on, my parents are actually going to spend some time with their 11 month old daughter (first grandchild) tommorow which they have been deprived of over the first year of her life, baby classes are back on, my wife may now actually get the medical care she should have had, wolves have been boring anyway.
What I’m not happy about is people trying to suggest there should be restrictions beyond June when there is already very little evidential basis for it even now.
2.9% mortality rate from recorded cases. Cases is much higher than this (not everyone has had tests, testing wasn’t readily available in the first wave, false negatives etc.)
127,000 people have been recorded as Covid deaths. Excess deaths is around the 20,000 mark. The real figure is somewhere in between.
So taking those two things into account the mortality rate is likely significantly lower than 2.9% (which was in an unvaccinated population).
Now take into account a successful vaccine (people who still get ill with it does not equal death, they will have more protection than this time last year and better treatment), levels of existing immunity in the community, the seasonal nature of the disease, then the response is not in line with the problem (particularly when the response is causing deaths from other causes, as well as the long term economic problems).
I’m not too bothered about a bit more lockdown. I’ve been going into work FT throughout, 5 a side is now back on, my parents are actually going to spend some time with their 11 month old daughter (first grandchild) tommorow which they have been deprived of over the first year of her life, baby classes are back on, my wife may now actually get the medical care she should have had, wolves have been boring anyway.
What I’m not happy about is people trying to suggest there should be restrictions beyond June when there is already very little evidential basis for it even now.