Too early to say. The main concern is that the absolute numbers will be so high it won't matter if it's less severe than the previous waves in % terms.Is there no data on severe disease because there is no severe disease?
Yeah - it looks like omicron is both slightly milder than delta on average, but also significantly more infectious. Since it looks like it will cause so many more cases, that'll more than outweigh the "benefit" of it causing fewer serious health issues per infection.
On the plus side, early trial data is also showing that existing vaccines work great on it - after a third booster. As long as we can get those out ASAP we should (touch wood) be back to where we were in summer/autumn 2021 by late winter/early spring 2022.
You obviously can't comprehend how much worse it would be to be stuck at home with your abusers with nowhere else to goI think the problem is not lockdown per se, it's the fact that they were needed and have ultimately exposed what happens when health and social care services are underfunded
You obviously can't comprehend how much worse it would be to be stuck at home with your abusers with nowhere else to go
I'm glad you've acknowledged lockdown made the abuse of children much worse. How can anyone advocate for them again knowing that. Everybody wants the problem solved, but realistically it will take decades at least, if it ever can be. How many saved lives does there have to be for the torturing of children to be acceptable collateral?Lockdown has exposed how poor social care is, due to underfunding. No one should be in a position where they're being abused. Lockdown made it worse, but there shouldn't be that situation in the first place.
Lockdown made an existing problem much worse, I want us to fix the existing problem.
I'm glad you've acknowledged lockdown made the abuse of children much worse. How can anyone advocate for them again knowing that. Everybody wants the problem solved, but realistically it will take decades at least, if it ever can be. How many saved lives does there have to be for the torturing of children to be acceptable collateral?
lockdown is not in any way responsible for the abhorrent death of poor Arthur. The abuse he experienced was horrible, terrifying, and unjust. It was inhumane. But it was not as a result of lockdown, and it did not continue because of lockdown. Total red herring.I'm glad you've acknowledged lockdown made the abuse of children much worse. How can anyone advocate for them again knowing that. Everybody wants the problem solved, but realistically it will take decades at least, if it ever can be. How many saved lives does there have to be for the torturing of children to be acceptable collateral?
This is the problem. There is no point the PM and other ministers making empty promises about making sure these horrific incidents can't happen again while at the same time enacting cuts and policies that make it impossible for social workers to do their jobs. Yet it is social services that will get the blame every time.the workload of social workers is phenomenally high, and they don't have the resources to deal with what is expected of them. It was bad enough 12 years ago, but since 2010 it has gotten immensely worse.
lockdown is not in any way responsible for the abhorrent death of poor Arthur. The abuse he experienced was horrible, terrifying, and unjust. It was inhumane. But it was not as a result of lockdown, and it did not continue because of lockdown. Total red herring.
https://www.theguardian.com/comment...-difficult-questions-we-must-address-them-all
the workload of social workers is phenomenally high, and they don't have the resources to deal with what is expected of them. It was bad enough 12 years ago, but since 2010 it has gotten immensely worse.
Numerous children and others have been significantly at risk, and let down by systems designed to protect them for decades. DECADES. Look at the death of Peter Connelly, or Victoria Climbie, or Daniel Pelka, or hundreds of others, because these are the only cases in the media remember.
The example of the police officer threatening the family member with potential recriminations rings like some arse who couldn't be arsed to do his job. But that isn't due to lockdown, it is an incompetent copper, and there are fucking loads of them. But lockdown wasn't the cause of this poor childs death.
No one is saying that it isn't more dangerous for children, please grasp that.Sorry - simply don't agree with most of that.
Not sure if you've actually read the article you linked to?
"Lockdown made it possible for Arthur’s parents to legitimately keep him off school and torture him at will"
Media hub - BMJ Group
Explore the latest published research, corporate updates, and insights from BMJ Group. Stay informed about cutting-edge scientific studies, medical innovations, and our impact on global healthcare.www.bmj.com
"Surge in domestic child abuse during pandemic, reports specialist UK children’s hospital
Rise of 1493% in 1 month compared with same period in previous three years"
Covid-19: Rise in suspected child abuse cases after lockdown
The number of incidents reported to the child safeguarding panel in England rose by a quarter.www.bbc.co.uk
"The number of reported incidents of children dying or being seriously harmed after suspected abuse or neglect rose by a quarter after England's first lockdown last year, figures indicate."
The impact of COVID-19 on child abuse in the UK | NSPCC Learning
Read our report summarising the risks to children’s safety due to the conditions created by the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis, and why these risks might intensify during the pandemic.learning.nspcc.org.uk
- There are indications that the conditions caused by the coronavirus pandemic have heightened the vulnerability of children and young people to certain types of abuse, for example online abuse, abuse within the home, criminal exploitation and child sexual exploitation.
Revealed: England’s pandemic crisis of child abuse, neglect and poverty
Foster places in short supply and council budgets buckling as social service referrals increase by up to 40% in some areaswww.theguardian.com
In Liverpool, the number of children entering the care system last year because of parental neglect or alcohol misuse almost doubled
Physical abuse of young children during the COVID-19 pandemic: Alarming increase in the relative frequency of hospitalizations during the lockdown period
In France, the COVID-19 pandemic led to a general lockdown from mid-March to mid-May 2020, forcing families to remain confined. We hypothesized that c…www.sciencedirect.com
Several studies conducted around the world have raised the alarm about a dramatic increase in family violence and child maltreatment during the COVID-19 lockdown
Coronavirus: Reports of physical abuse of children up 53% during lockdown - with older kids more at risk
Adolescents are also at greater risk of online grooming compared to young children, according to an NSPCC report.news.sky.com
Reports of physical abuse against children to the NSPCC increased by 53% during the coronavirus lockdown, the charity has said.
Initial statistics suggest that during the lockdown period there was a huge rise in online abuse, familial abuse, county lines exploitation and child sexual exploitation.
Could go on and on and on, the evidence is overwhelming.
Everyone knows social services in this country are a mess and have been for years, the tragic examples highlighted above show that. So with that in mind, I find it incomprehensible how someone can't grasp that being stuck inside with an abusive adult is inherently more dangerous for vulnerable children.
Yes I know what you mean - but what I'm saying is that until you are confident social services etc is properly funded and the causes of child abuse have been eradicated, you have to accept that lockdowns will lead to more child abuse.No one is saying that it isn't more dangerous for children, please grasp that.
What people are saying is that lockdown isn't the cause, it's a big contributing factor for sure but it's an event rather than the cause. The cause is huge amounts of underfunding.
Spin forward about 25-50 years and assume the same amount of underinvestment, if climate change causes a similar set of circumstances to arise then it won't be climate change that causes the increase in child abuse, it'll be the same issues we see in the "system" today.