AndyWolves
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Simple fact
You can lock down China. As the populace are fucking terrified of state retribution if they fail to comply.
You try and lock down Italy. Chunks of the populace get out before the lock, as do any visitors from other countries.
You try and lock down UK. As Italy, but a load of times worse as "British stiff upper lip" kicks in and people keep going to work or school or university or the pub or the football. IE - its completely ineffective.
It's going to be very interesting to see the effect of Italy's lockdown and whether it gives their medical teams some respite.
We know the patterns now so if we time it right we can take the edge of the spike assuming Italy's lockdown has a noticeable effect
I still don't know how this will work going forward. Do we have one week of no lockdown followed by two weeks of lockdown to give the medical teams chance to catch up?