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2024 General Election Thread

Who did you Vote For

  • Labour

    Votes: 35 63.6%
  • Tory

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Lib Dem

    Votes: 7 12.7%
  • Green

    Votes: 12 21.8%
  • Farage Ltd

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Serious Independent

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • SNP

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • One of the Niron ones

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Count Binface

    Votes: 1 1.8%
  • Mr Baked Bean Face

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Other Strange Party/Independent

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    55
Not that Brexit is entirely a right-wing, conservative idea, but it's interesting how many of those shouting about Project Fear back in 2016 are now reduced to scare-mongering and little else themselves
 
I nearly chocked on my coffee watching Politics Today at lunchtime.
Yorkshire farmers complaining that since Brexit, they have a reduced standing in Europe and with the European farmers and it’s not fair.
Must of been my imagination, all those UKIP and Brexit signs in the farmers fields at the time.
 
Britain is not a member of the World Economic Forum…no country is. Not that he cares, it’s just something else for his gullible acolytes to get angry about.

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From Anthony Seldon (who I think it is fair to say knows his stuff), damning:

In comparison to the earlier four periods of one-party dominance post-1945, it is hard to see the years since 2010 as anything but disappointing. By 2024, Britain’s standing in the world was lower, the union was less strong, the country less equal, the population less well protected, growth more sluggish with the outlook poor, public services underperforming and largely unreformed, while respect for the institutions of the British state, including the civil service, judiciary and the police, was lower, as it was for external bodies, including the universities and the BBC, repeatedly attacked not least by government, ministers and right-wing commentators.

Do the unusually high number of external shocks to some extent let the governments off the hook? One above all – Brexit – was entirely of its own making and will be seen in history as the defining decision of these years. In 2024, the verdict on Brexit is almost entirely negative, with those who are suffering the most from it, as sceptics at the time predicted, the most vulnerable. The nation was certainly difficult to rule in these fourteen years, the Conservative party still more so. Longstanding problems certainly contributed to the difficulties the prime minister faced in providing clear strategic policy, including the 24-hour news cycle, the rise of social media and AI, and the frequency of scandals and crises. But it was the decision of the prime minister to choose to be distracted by the short term, rather than focusing on the strategic and the long term. The prime minister has agency: the incumbents often overlooked it.

Overall, it is hard to find a comparable period in history of a Conservative, or other, government which achieved so little, or which left the country at its conclusion in a more troubling state.

Very few cabinet ministers from 2010 to 2024 could hold a candle to the team who served under Clement Attlee – which included Ernest Bevin, Nye Bevan, Stafford Cripps, Hugh Gaitskell and Herbert Morrison. Or the teams who served under Wilson, Thatcher or Blair. Michael Gove, Jeremy Hunt and Philip Hammond were rare examples of ministers of quality after 2010 …

A strong and capable prime minister is essential to governmental success in the British system. The earlier four periods saw two historic and landmark prime ministers, ie Churchill and Thatcher, with a succession of others who were capable if not agenda-changing PMs, including Macmillan, Wilson, Major and Blair. Since 2010, only Cameron came close to that level, with Sunak the best of the rest. Policy virtually stopped under May as Brexit consumed almost all the machine’s time, while serious policymaking ground to a halt under Johnson’s inept leadership, the worst in modern premiership, and the hapless Truss. Continuity of policy was not helped by each incoming prime minister despising their predecessor, with Truss’s admiration for Johnson the only exception. Thus they took next no time to understand what it was their predecessors were trying to do, and how to build on it rather than destroy it.
 
For anyone who says they are all the same or is scornful towards the New Labour government domestically
 
If you heard a thunder clap a few minutes ago, it was the collective orgasms of my friends at the Nigel Farage / reform appreciation group, as sole nut job has released a poll that looks like this
 
Your pet push-polling company has detected the exact kind of Reform SURGE you've been so breathlessly pushing for weeks, Matt? Has it really? Gosh, what are the chances?
 
Marginal seats from yougov have reform nowhere near Labour or the conservatives in North West Leicestershire. Lichfield and Tamworth on a knife edge too.
 
Lichfield won't flip, it did in a by election with Sylvia Heal after John Heddle died in 1990, but they've moved the boundaries since then. If it does then then 50 odd seat projection will be accurate because looking at that polling it would lose because of Reform
 
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