I'm all over a West Ham win here at odds-against.
Having spent most of last season thinking the bubble will burst for David Moyes as he oversaw a classic case of overachievement, I've completely changed my view based on continued excellent and consistent performances from the Hammers. Moyes has gone back to what made his Everton side so dangerous, making West Ham a tough outfit that play very much as a team and one that carry a huge goal threat.
The 100/30 with Sky Bet for them to finish in the top four would be a serious bet for me if I had faith in Michail Antonio's body to hold up from injury. Here though, at 7/5 with Sky Bet, they are a generous price to beat a Wolves team that look on the downgrade following an impressive start to life under Bruno Lage.
Since beating Watford in September, Wolves have gone flat in forward areas. In their last seven matches, they have posted just 54 shots - that's 16 fewer than any other team. An expected goals figure of 7.4 in that period is fine on first viewing but dig a little deeper and it becomes a tad more worrying. All of those seven fixtures have come against teams not in the top nine of the Premier League table. Crystal Palace were insanely comfortable in their 2-0 victory before the international break, with Wolves recording an expected goals figure of just 0.28.
The Hammers have lost just one of their last 17 games away from home against teams that finished ninth or lower according to last season's table and won 12 of those 17, including beating Wolves 3-2 last season. That's a 71 per cent win-rate and we're getting odds-against here.
Moyes' boys are perfectly equipped to get the job done in these type of games.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2
BETTING ANGLE:
West Ham to win (7/5 with Sky Bet)