Deutsch Wolf
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- Joined
- Oct 16, 2009
- Messages
- 109,291
- Reaction score
- 35,470
1.55 vs 0.50 here:1-1 Draw in XG land (roundings)
Does show how unreliable xG can be for a single match, it's for underlying trends across a series of games (or even a whole season), not to show "Team A deserved to win here as their xG was better".
The measurements always seem off to me too, Podence's goal should be higher than 0.19 surely. Assuming he can kick the ball that far it was an open goal.
King's chance for them (their only chance, realistically) coming in at 0.09 when he should have buried it, it wasn't a difficult chance.