Tony Towner
Well-known member
- Joined
- Feb 18, 2010
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As things stand we have the Top 5 still to play 3 at home 2 away and the leagues form team Forest away. That will make or break our season
As things stand we have the Top 5 still to play 3 at home 2 away. That will make or break our season
You didn't put the score in..Why's it need editing in the 1st place?
We are[emoji6]
In reverse chronological order these are the 6th placed totals in this league over the last 20 years:
72, 68, 75, 75, 70, 74, 70, 75, 75, 73, 73, 74, 75, 74, 76, 76, 74, 71, 71, 72.
So while it's not impossible that we'll need 80 points or more, it would be an extreme statistical outlier. Like if we'd needed 95 points to finish 2nd in League One last season, which of course ended up being nowhere near the case despite mass fear that we would need that many around this time 12 months ago. I think it's likely we're going to need to be at the very top end of the scale - we might even need more than anyone else has needed over the last 20 years, 77 or 78, let's say. I don't think you're going to see such a wide, random divergence from a trend over such a long period though. Four points more than the maximum is a lot.
Dan, your football knowledge never ceases to amaze me.
I haven't got the patience to do such indepth research on tinternet and appreciate reading it -let's hope there are some stats next week on when we last won four games on the bounce without conceding 3-)
In reverse chronological order these are the 6th placed totals in this league over the last 20 years:
72, 68, 75, 75, 70, 74, 70, 75, 75, 73, 73, 74, 75, 74, 76, 76, 74, 71, 71, 72.
So while it's not impossible that we'll need 80 points or more, it would be an extreme statistical outlier. Like if we'd needed 95 points to finish 2nd in League One last season, which of course ended up being nowhere near the case despite mass fear that we would need that many around this time 12 months ago. I think it's likely we're going to need to be at the very top end of the scale - we might even need more than anyone else has needed over the last 20 years, 77 or 78, let's say. I don't think you're going to see such a wide, random divergence from a trend over such a long period though. Four points more than the maximum is a lot.
Dan, your football knowledge never ceases to amaze me.
I wonder if teams above us are getting a little nervous as we gradually rein them in?
In reverse chronological order these are the 6th placed totals in this league over the last 20 years:
72, 68, 75, 75, 70, 74, 70, 75, 75, 73, 73, 74, 75, 74, 76, 76, 74, 71, 71, 72.
So while it's not impossible that we'll need 80 points or more, it would be an extreme statistical outlier. Like if we'd needed 95 points to finish 2nd in League One last season, which of course ended up being nowhere near the case despite mass fear that we would need that many around this time 12 months ago. I think it's likely we're going to need to be at the very top end of the scale - we might even need more than anyone else has needed over the last 20 years, 77 or 78, let's say. I don't think you're going to see such a wide, random divergence from a trend over such a long period though. Four points more than the maximum is a lot.
He probably did, tbf!
Ha! Bloody football oracle! Well Dan, did you have all the points memorised from the 6th placed teams over the last 20 years?