Still think the quieter Boris-hating rank and file Tory voter is going to prove key here, despite all of the focus being on the rabid nutters. SKS gives them a sort of ‘safe space’ to trust their vote to Labour and most of the leadership candidates are not going to reverse that.
My call is Tom-Tug getting the gig, which would go some way to placating them and nullifying the comfort zone of Starmer. Might not go down well with the more extreme voters but they’re not likely to switch anyway.
If he could calm the party down two years would seem a long way off. Would feel confident SKS would defeat any of the other nutters in a GE but Tugendhat could cause a big problem for Labour.