2024 General Election Thread

[Kenny]

Seen plenty of Lib Dem posters/signs up around here. Nowt for Tories or Labour

Bombarded with leaflets etc from the Lib Dems. Yesterday was the first day i received Tory. Labour and Reform leaflets. Really putting up a fight here

 

[Sniffer]

What I’m finding striking is that, while Farmer Giles is happy to be getting paid to let the local campaign team put billboards up his fences, the rows of suburban houses proudly advocating for the Tories are history. They’ll be sneaking out to vote for them but too ashamed to admit it these days.

FIFY

 

[Sniffer]

Seen plenty of Lib Dem posters/signs up around here. Nowt for Tories or Labour

Bombarded with leaflets etc from the Lib Dems. Yesterday was the first day i received Tory. Labour and Reform leaflets. Really putting up a fight here

The unofficial pact is working quite nicely then.

 

[leedswolf]

Loads of Tory posters and billboards in North Worcester, particularly in farmers fields.

That's all they grow since Brexit...

 

[Tyrannosaurus Dan]

My calendar at work

 

[Elephant Pyjamas]

My dad lives in Huthwaite.

Lee Anderson propaganda and posters everywhere there, it's sickening.

 

[Sniffer]

My dad lives in Huthwaite.

Lee Anderson propaganda and posters everywhere there, it's sickening.

The Survation poll of yesterday has him losing the seat to Labour in a close contest.

 

[MARKakaJIM]

My dad lives in Huthwaite.

Lee Anderson propaganda and posters everywhere there, it's sickening.

Only 5 minutes up the road from me! I was in Sutton-in-Ashfield the other day, just the other side of Huthwaite to me, and the only posters I saw there were for local boy Jason Zadrozny.

 

[Elephant Pyjamas]

Only 5 minutes up the road from me! I was in Sutton-in-Ashfield the other day, just the other side of Huthwaite to me, and the only posters I saw there were for local boy Jason Zadrozny.

 

[Elephant Pyjamas]

Only 5 minutes up the road from me! I was in Sutton-in-Ashfield the other day, just the other side of Huthwaite to me, and the only posters I saw there were for local boy Jason Zadrozny.

That's good.

However, they're every other house on the streets around him.

 

[Deutsch Wolf]

For those looking back at the euphoria of 1997, election night in 1992 was as grim as it gets. Defeat grabbed from the jaws of victory although looking back it was a bullet dodged.
Hopefully history wont repeat itself on either.

The double whammy of 2015 (Cameron being handed a majority after five shit, shit, shit years and even he didn't think he'd win outright) and then Brexit in 2016 (what the FUCK are you thinking) was horrific to sit through in real time.

 

[Langers]

It's just been pretty much every election I've voted in for well over a decade that I'm praying goes the right way. I felt so despondent when the exit poll came in at 10pm in 2019. Just horrible.

I want to see a lot of horrendous individuals who have fucked this country over look increasingly embarrassed and uncomfortable stood on stage as they lose their seats. I've waited long enough for this - I just hope it goes the right way and is worth staying up for.

 

[MARKakaJIM]

That's good.

However, they're every other house on the streets around him.

Our constituency went Conservative last time round, think possibly the first time ever, and this time I believe we've got the Labour candidate who failed in Ashfield last time out looking to get elected for us.

 

[lemonjelly]

have only seen tory posters etc in 1 single town in north wales when on holiday last week.
seen lots of labour, and lots of lib dem on the travels.
in birmingham seeing a few posters for independents.

 

[Wilf Wolf]

Not seen a Tory poster in Stafford but a few for Gav in neighbouring constituency which bizarrely includes a few houses that could only ever be considered Stafford. Find it odd that of the very few I have seen the majority have been on farms. Screw them on inheritance tax I say!

 

[Kenny]

Back from the dead to vote for Nigel

https://twitter.com/x/status/1808443912123560012

 

[leedswolf]

The dregs of UK politics...

 

[Kenny]

A bit Partridge on "What is your favourite Beatles album" is that

 

[leedswolf]

Rishi had 3 breakfasts yesterday...

 

[pr0sl0]

Please let this be true

https://twitter.com/x/status/1808198101964148928

Adding to this... Alliance in NI are probably going to get 2-3 seats, and they have a longstanding alliance with the Lib Dems (like the SDLP and Labour). It's not beyond the realm of possibility that Alliance's MPs take the Lib Dem whip if it means they get a taste of being the official opposition.

Fwiw I think this MRP is pretty much bang on for what's going to happen, give or take a dozen or so seats either way. Labour's average poll lead over the Tories is larger than Labour's over the Tories in 1997, and the Tories' over Labour in 1983; you would expect this to mean a commensurately larger lead in seats as well, even before applying the extra blow of just how low the Tory vote share has fallen. There's this psychological barrier we all have from being burned too many times, plus the sheer craziness of the Tories being reduced to fewer than 100 seats - to maybe being pushed into third place! - but all the evidence, in the polling below the topline voting shares, points to it being true.

And for anyone worried about the polls being wrong, consider this: you could take the polling error from 1992 and the last-minute surge in support of 2017, apply both in the Tories' favour, and Labour would still have a poll lead large enough to win a small majority. Even in the worst of worst-case scenarios, the Tories are out.