Cut & paste from the Infogol preview
Wolves suffered late heartbreak last time out, conceding from a dubious stoppage time penalty in a 1-1 draw with Burnley, ending their hopes of a Champions League qualification spot.
Although they have gained solid results (W4, D1, L2) in 'Project Restart', Nuno Espirito Santo's side have disappointed in attack from a data standpoint, averaging 1.23 xGF per game in those seven matches.
However, they did record 3.19 xGF against Everton in their last game at Molineux, and possess a wealth of talent up top.
Wolves are an exceptional defensive outfit, though, conceding chances equating to just 1.15 xGA per game, and allowing a league-low 26 non-penalty big chances (35%+) this season.
Despite a spirited performance, Crystal Palace succumbed to a 2-0 home defeat against Manchester United last week, extending their losing run to six games.
Palace have posted some concerning numbers during that period, allowing 2.08 xGA per game on average, while looking non-threatening going forward.
Furthermore, Roy Hodgson's men continue to be a poor side on their travels, holding the worst expected goal difference in the Premier League when playing on the road (-18.5 xGD).
Facing a highly motivated side, Palace may struggle to lay a glove on Wolves here.
Wolves are short-priced favourites for this game, but Infogol thinks they should be even shorter. We calculate a 69% chance (1.45) of a home win, but they can be backed at 1.53 (65%) on the Betfair Exchange, making them the value selection.