I'd be astonished if the Tories manage to hold on to Guildford just down the road from you. But we're a marginally more diverse community than Epsom.
Helen McNamara's testimony is considered, detailed, absolutely fascinating, and so far, much more damaging in my view that the circus we had yesterday. She comes across as diligent too - I mean, her witness statement ran to 100 pages. And she's pulling no punches - telling the inquiry her phone was deleted by the government, and they put barriers in the way of her obtaining evidence to support her witness statement.
Yes this very much chimes with my experience in the Home Counties, and it gels with larger polling. The anti-Tory “vote” is now huge, but a lot of it is that people who were previously consistent Tory voters are going “a pox on all their houses” and not even bothering. Lots of anecdotal evidence only, but what I keep hearing is that Boris may have “got Brexit done” in the short term but he was a liar on that last part, they’re pissed that they keep hearing how different people are getting fucked over and not supported by the government (eg farmers) - and it doesn’t matter that it was predicted by Project Fear, they think we should look after our own - and the whole party since 2019 seems corrupt, selfish, and unhinged, obsessed with culture war stuff and ignoring that their retirement savings are being drained quicker than they’d like because their kids and grandkids need help paying the mortgage or affording any kind of childcare. Scared of what might happen soon if they have to go into a care home too, all too aware that the system is fucked there, and hearing Boris was actually wanting to sacrifice retirees for the economy is solidifying the feeling that the Tories are just a bunch of sociopathic bullies.
I'd be astonished if the Tories manage to hold on to Guildford just down the road from you. But we're a marginally more diverse community than Epsom.
The boomer generation are getting fewer in number. The grey vote is starting at people not much older than me. And that generation isn’t the safe Tory vote.
Guildford's been true Blue in all but 3 elections since 1865. Last time we flipped to the LDs was in 2001. But it's a strong Remain area and Richardson has been hiding since Covid. The LD's are very active and Zoe Franklin is an excellent candidate. All the anyone-but-Tory vote will go to her, I think.
They are toast. Their hero wanted their main electors to die so his mates in the press wouldn’t say bad things about him. And everything since has been corrupt and shambolic.
