2024 General Election Thread

[darlowolf64]

Angie keeps her seat (obvs)

 

[Sniffer]

Emily Thornberry too

 

[Del Woppio]

Just catching up, seems the limitations of exit polls exposed in the Reform votes? I get the whole science and maths thing but I never quite understood how polling in 130 stations gets you results down to the seat

 

[Sniffer]

Just catching up, seems the limitations of exit polls exposed in the Reform votes? I get the whole science and maths thing but I never quite understood how polling in 130 stations gets you results down to the seat

They use the same ones too to keep consistent with previous results. It doesn’t work well with new parties.

 

[Del Woppio]

At what point do they have another look at projections now there's 10% declared? Looks like Reform's vote is actually higher than initially stabbed at

 

[Stan Hullis]

I can’t believe Rushcliffe is red.

What a result.

Fucking posh pricks! Get in

 

[Sniffer]

Another labour gain in Scotland

 

[jlo]

At what point do they have another look at projections now there's 10% declared? Looks like Reform's vote is actually higher than initially stabbed at

John Curtice reckoned not, just proportionally the seats they expected to do better in have come in early, and with less than expected.

 

[Sniffer]

Broxtowe gain. Was that Soubrys old seat?

 

[Paddingtonwolf]

At what point do they have another look at projections now there's 10% declared? Looks like Reform's vote is actually higher than initially stabbed at

Exit poll has overstated Reform. Their vote is high as the early declarers are often in Brexity areas.

 

[darlowolf64]

Bishop Auckland gone Red now too… Labour cleaning up in the North and North East

 

[Del Woppio]

Beth reckons Jez holds Islington North

 

[Paddingtonwolf]

My only regret is I can't see Laura K looking like a bulldog licking piss off a nettle.

 

[jlo]

I reckon they will beat 1997 seat numbers come the end of the night, and Tories might fall short of 3 figures

 

[Paddingtonwolf]

Stevenage Red. Bit surprised at that. Was always very Tory when I worked there

 

[jlo]

Bicester & Woodstock goes Lib Dem against exit poll predictions of Tory

 

[Stan Hullis]

Broxtowe gain. Was that Soubrys old seat?

Yes

 

[Paddingtonwolf]

Again - that is classic Tory heartland. This is ace.

 

[Stan Hullis]

Broxtowe gain. Was that Soubrys old seat?

To gain both Broxtowe and Rushcliffe is mental

 

[Del Woppio]

New guesses with 80odd declared :


Labour seats & reform seats

435 & 4